20% of CO2 emissions from deforestation? Make that 12%

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Global deforestation accounts for nearly 20 per cent of all CO2 emissions. Everyone knows that. We’ve read it over and over again. The figure comes from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But recent research takes a new look at the data behind the figure and comes up with a figure of around 12 per cent. The research, carried out by Guido van der Werf at the Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, VU University Amsterdam and colleagues, is published in Nature Geoscience this week. Van der Werf explains that “While the IPCC estimates were based on the best available information during the time of writing, several deforestation emission assessments have been revised downward since then. In addition, fossil fuel emissions have increased substantially but deforestation emissions remained relatively constant.”

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Left UN-said: the flawed analysis behind UN-REDD

In September 2008, the United Nations launched its UN-REDD programme. According to information released by the UN “Nine countries have already expressed formal interest in receiving assistance through the UN-REDD Programme: Bolivia, Democratic Republic of Congo, Indonesia, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Tanzania, Viet Nam, and Zambia.”

A “Framework Document” dated June 2008 provides more detail about the programme. The analysis presented raises several concerns with UN-REDD, but what is far more worrying is what is excluded from the Framework Document.
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Indonesia re-enters the Guinness Book of Records for the world’s fastest rate of deforestation

For the second year running, Indonesia has the dubious honour of entering the Guiness Book of Records as the country with the highest rate of deforestation. According to the 2009 Guinness World Records, Indonesia’s deforestation rate was 1.8 million hectares per year between 2000 and 2005. This amounts to a loss of 2 percent of its forests each year.
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UN and Norway launch REDD programme

In September 2008, the UN and Norway launched a UN-REDD programme. The press release is below. It’s interesting to look at what they are saying about Indonesia: “Indonesia has the potential to be compensated $1 billion a year if its deforestation rate was reduced to one million hectares annually.” Indonesia has a total of 104 million hectares. With a deforestation rate of one million hectares a year, in 100 years there would be no more forest in Indonesia and the government would be paid US$104 billion.
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“To have an international commodity, you have to have this scientific basis and certification process, because you’re selling something that doesn’t exist.” — Timothy H Brown, The World Bank, Jakarta, December 2009

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